Strategy → State-level races
Win in the States
Governors and state legislatures control redistricting, voting access, and the infrastructure that determines whether Democratic majorities are durable. We can't win the House in 2028 or 2030 if Republicans lock in maps and voting rules in the states now. The states on this map aren't a bonus—they're part of the same fight.
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Must-Flip Races
The most competitive GOP-held seats, where margins will be razor-thin and outcomes will determine who holds power.
2022 Senate first-round results: D: 10.37% | R: 43.37% | R: 42.60%
Alaska
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Maine
2024 Senate results: I: 52.06% | R: 34.64% | D: 10.83%
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North Carolina
2022 Senate results: D: 47.27% | R: 50.50%
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Ohio
2022 Senate results: D: 46.47% | R: 50.09%
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Must-Hold Races
The most competitive Democratic-held seats, where outcomes will determine who holds power.
Georgia
2020 Senate runoff results: D: 50.61% | R: 49.39%
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2024 Senate results: D: 48.64% | R: 48.30%
Michigan
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2022 Senate results: D: 53.54% | R: 44.39%
New Hampshire
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Reach Races
Races where the political environment is shifting, new voters can be reached, and deeper organizing can strengthen the Democratic brand to secure tough wins. The most competitive Democratic-held seats, where margins will be razor-thin and outcomes will determine who holds power.
2022 Senate results: D: 43.84% | R: 56.01%
Iowa
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2024 Senate results: D: 44.56%| R: 53.05%
Texas
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